Chandler oscillation period and climate changes on Earth versus linear systems of the objects of Solar System
Bogdan Góralski
Library of History Faculty of the University of Warsaw
This is a chapter of my book entitled The new look at the Earth’s climate mechanism: The Solar System shapes the Earth’s climate change
, (published on Google Books and Academia.edu in autumn 2019) and actualized in February, March 2021.
Dear Internauts,
I observed the movement of planets and the Moon in the Solar System using the Solar System Simulator – link: http://www.faustweb.net/ , and found that starting observations from the moment of the linear system of planets Jupiter, Mars, Earth, Moon, Venus, Mercury and the Sun, the next linear systems of the planets occur in the period of 430-440 days, i.e. during the period of Chandler’s oscillation. It is likely that the proper configuration of the planets, the Moon and the Sun, causes a smaller or larger deviation of the Earth’s axis of rotation, with an annual period and the Chandler period. Maybe my observation and my article below will help to explain the effects of the rhythm of linear settings of objects within the Solar System.
El Niño and La Niña occurrences and the phases and perigee of the Moon’s orbit
Bogdan Góralski
Library of the Faculty of History at the University of Warsaw
Abstract
For 19 years I have been conducting independent research on the causes and effects of climate change. I described the results of the research in the Polish-language book entitled Natural history and climate change and in the English-language book entitled The new look at the Earth’s climate mechanism. The Solar System shapes the Earth’s climate change, published November 2019 on Google Books. Since then I have been constantly working on my concept of the Earth’s climate mechanism. In the following work, I present an explanation of the variability of the ENSO phenomenon and other ocean-climatic processes on the globe, which are related to the variability of the gravitational forces of the Moon and the Sun acting on the Earth’s oceans and atmosphere.
For 5 years I have been running a Facebook group called Long-term weather forecast, where I publish weather forecasts for Poland based on the LOD (length of day) variability forecast published 182 days ahead by Paris Observatory IERS Centers.
Long-term comparisons of LOD variability with climate changes over Poland have proven the existence of a strong correlation between LOD and weather changes. The analysis of LOD observations and the climate of Poland resulted in this work explaining the repetitive phenomena shaping weather and climate changes on our globe.
Introduction
The Moon and the Sun act upon the Earth, the oceans, and the Earth’s atmosphere by gravity. The Sun’s gravitational force is due to its mass, and the Moon’s gravity is due to its proximity. On the days of the new moon (NW) and its full moon (FM), the interaction of the Moon and the Sun exerts its greatest influence on the Earth’s geophysical system and is most noticeable during the perigee of the Moon’s orbit. During the high synchronicity of the dates of NM, FM and the perigee of the Moon’s orbit, La Niña climatic and ocean phenomena occur as well as strong global changes in the distribution of ocean waters with different sea surface temperatures (SST – sea surface temperature) as well as atmospheric highs and lows in the Earth’s atmosphere.
During the asynchrony of the dates of occurrence of NM, FM, the perigee of the Moon’s orbit, the El Niño climate and oceanic phenomenon occur and strong global changes in the distribution of masses of the Earth’s atmosphere differing in air density and strong global changes in the distribution of waters differing in density and temperature (SST) ocean waters which are also affected by the centrifugal force resulting from the linear speed of the Earth’s rotation.
Sources of data:
The perihelion of the Earth’s orbit 141.7 million km -2 January 4
Aphelion of the Earth’s orbit 151.2 million km – approx. 4th of July
The perigee of the Moon’s orbit is approximately 360,000 km
The apogee of the Moon’s orbit is about 405,000 km
The ellipse of the Moon’s orbit rotates counterclockwise every 8.85 years -3233 days
The synchronicity and asynchronicity of the perigee dates with the New Moon and the Full Moon result in the occurrence of El Niño and La Niña:
2003- asynchronous dates of FM and NM and perigee —– occurrence of El Niño
2008- NM synchronicity of the perigee and FM January-May, August-November- La Niña occurrence
2009- asynchronicity of perigee, FM and NM dates —- El Niño occurrence
2010- FM and perigee synchronicity January-May, June-November- La Niña occurrence
2016- synchronicity of perigee and NM February-June, asynchronicity of perigee and FM -January-June-occurrence of El Niño
2016- synchronicity of the perigee and the Moon’s FM July-August – occurrence of weak La Niña August-December
2017- synchronicity of perigee dates, NM March-August, synchronicity of perigee and FM November December-October-December occurrence La Niña
2018- synchronicity of perigee and FM January-March, the synchronicity of perigee and NM March-September-presentation of La Niña January-April
see ENSO Index values:
Summary
The action of the gravity of the planets in the solar system on the Earth causes the Earth’s coating to move (under the relatively stationary Earth’s atmosphere) causing regional climate change. The movement of the Earth’s coating since the mid-nineteenth century has caused regional warming and a shift in precipitation zones that are greatest in amplitude and most felt in North America and East Asia. The gravitational influence of the Sun and Moon on Earth’s geophysics causes ocean and atmospheric phenomena that shape the Earth’s global climate, including the phenomenon of ENSO variability depending on the synchronicity and asynchronousness of the Moon’s orbit perigee and full FM and New Moon, during which the influence of gravity on the Earth’s geophysical environment and Earth’s climate is the greatest.
Warsaw, February 17, 2021, 21:30 Bogdan Góralski
Literature:
Góralski.B. (2013) Historia naturalna i zmiany klimatu, published in Google Books listopad 2019
Góralski.B.(2019) The new look at the Earth’s climate mechanism. The Solar System shapes the Earth’s climate change-published in Google Books listopad 2019
Linear configuration of the planets versus ENSO changes
I observed the movement of planets and the Moon in the Solar System using the Solar System Simulator – link: http://www.faustweb.net/ , and found that observed moments of the linear system configurations of Mars, Earth, Moon, Venus, Mercury, and the Sun brings us cooling of the Earth climate and also ENSO changes.
Linear configuration of the Sun, Mercury, Moon Earth repeated every four months. Linear configurations of the Sun, Mercury, Venus, Moon, and Earth repeats in 1,5 year period. Sometimes to the linear configuration of the above planets also join Mars, and then is also a cool period in Earth climate caused by gravitational forces.
Observed changes in Earth-Moon distance-perigee changes happens in the rhythm of repeated linear configuration (with changes in order) of the planets but linear configuration every 200 days with Earth, Moon, Merkury, Wenus, and the SUN or Earth, Moon, Venus, Sun, Merkury causes the closest approach of the Moon to the Earth which mean cooling period in Earth climate. La Nina phase of ENSO happens when the perigee of the Moon’s orbit synchronizes with Full Moon or New Moon during the next few months.
Fig.1
Fig.2
Periods of maximum approach Moon to the Earth caused cool and wet periods in Earth climate as we see on the below graph Fig.3 between May and July 2020 and remember severe cool winter on February 2021. At the beginning of July of 2020 (it was wet summer in Poland) and 12-02-2021, we see the minimum diameter of Moon orbit and maximum of Moon’s gravitation influence on Earth, which caused the cooling in climate. We see in Fig.2 and Fig.3 movement of the period of the lowest diameter of the Moon’s orbit from 180 the day in 2020 to 225 the day in 2021 of the Earth’s year. Does it mean that in the 2021 year will be wet and cool days between 200-260 days?
Fig.3
Warsaw, 3 March 2021, 6:20 Bogdan Góralski
References
Christopher S. Baird, (2013) (downloaded on 14 April 2019), When do the planets in our solar system all line up? Link:
http://wtamu.edu/~cbaird/sq/2013/08/28/when-do-the-planets-in-our-solar-system-all-line-up/
Solar System Simulator from Rome University- link: http://www.faustweb.net/
The Solar System display software was implemented by F. Panicali in October and November of 2003. The algorithms to calculate planet orbits was implemented at the University of Rome by Marco Mammetti and Fausto Panicali. The algorithms to calculate the positions of the Moon are given in: Meeus, Jean. Astronomical Algorithms.
Global weather extremes events and accidents of configuration in the one line smaller planets of the solar system
On the below graph we see mostly the correlation of the events of configuration in the one line of the smaller objects of the Solar System with the lower global temperature of land-ocean on the Earth. Sometimes events in the configuration of the planets in the line are connected with events of high temperatures.
We need further research.
Source of data:
Temperature index: (www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/graphs/).
Location of planets in the cosmic space: Solar System Symulator http://www.faustweb.net/solaris/
I send you a recent result of my research concerning predicting the global weather.
I predict extreme global weather events in 2021 at next dates:
20-26 April
24-29 May
5 August
7-10 October
2-3 January 2022
It will be cold rainy days in period between 27 July and 31 September , and also severe winter during December 2021-January 2022 I suppose.
Warsaw, 2 March 2021, 6:40 Bogdan Góralski
The mechanism of movement of the Earth’s coating and the Earth’s magnetic field
Source of above graph:
The Venus–Earth–Jupiter spin–orbit coupling model
I. R. G. Wilson
The Liverpool Plains Daytime Astronomy Centre, Gunnedah, Australia
Correspondence to: I. R. G. Wilson (irgeo8@bigpond.com)
Received: 1 October 2013 – Revised: 30 October 2013 – Accepted: 3 November 2013 – Published: 3 December 2013
Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 147–158, 2013
www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/1/147/2013/
doi:10.5194/prp-1-147-2013
© Author(s) 2013. CC Attribution 3.0 License.
The above illustration shows a probable scheme of the formation of the fluctuations of the Sun’s magnetic field, which depends on the mutual position of the Earth, Venus and Jupiter, and fluctuates in a similar to the 11-year cycle. In many scientific publications was proofed a correlation between the terrestrial climate and human economy cycles with an approximate 11-year cycle of changes in the magnetic field of the Sun expressed by the number of sunspots. It is likely that the solar fluctuation pattern is also valid for Earth, but it is modified by the interaction of the Moon, whose gravitational pull of the Earth is at least twice as great as the attraction of the Sun. There are calculations indicating that the gravitational interaction of the Sun with the Earth is many times greater than the gravitational interaction of the Moon. In this way, the rhythm of changes in the geophysical system of the Earth (climate changes and of the magnetic and gravitational field) is created, modified by the 28 day cycle of rotation of the Moon around the Earth and correlated with the changes magnetic field of the Sun.
Regarding the principle of the action of the earth’s magnetic dynamo, it consists in mutual rotation of the earth’s coating ( i.e. crust and mantle) rotating (under the influence of gravity coming from the Moon, Sun, Venus and Jupiter) around the center of gravity of the Earth on the plane the sliding surface of the external metallic Earth’s core. The system of the Earth’s coating and the external nucleus moves under the influence of gravity around the dense, inner Earth’s nucleus causing the effect of eccentric pumping in the liquid interior of the external nucleus, in which flows of molten metal induce eddy currents that excite the Earth’s magnetic field.
The Earth’s magnetic field has a stable position and direction in the interplanetary space, and the apparent changes in the position of the magnetic poles result from the rotation of the earth’s coating around the center of gravity of the Earth.