The content of my new book is in preparation for printing

mgr inż.Bogdan Góralski @bogdangoralski · 9hPublic

I present the content of my new book entitled :

THE CAUSES AND EFFECTS OF THE EARTH’S CLIMATE CHANGES

The new look at the Earth’s climate mechanism and the Cosmo-geophysical system of the Earth.

The technology of survival contemporary global crisis

Bogdan Jacek Góralski

Spis treści

Rozdział 3 List of illustrations. 13

Rozdział 4 Preface. 15

Introduction. 15

Environment-human conflict 17

The HSN-HSS conflict 17

Rozdział 5 Acknowledgments. 18

Rozdział 6 Introduction. 19

Is the earth’s climate getting warmer?. 19

Rozdział 7 List of abbreviations. 20

Rozdział 8 SCHEME OF THE CLIMATE OF THE EARTH.. 22

Northern hemisphere climate warming and southern hemisphere cooling. 22

Cooling of the northern hemisphere and warming of the southern hemisphere. 23

Rozdział 9 CHANDLER OSCILLATION PERIOD AND LINEAR SYSTEMS OF THE PLANET 25

Rozdział 10 THE MECHANISM OF MOVEMENT OF THE EARTH’S COATING AND EARTH’S MAGNETIC FIELD.. 26

Rozdział 11 FUTURE EARTH’S CLIMATE CHANGES. 28

Rozdział 12 CLIMATE CHANGES VERSUS EARTH’S GEOID SHAPE CHANGES. 29

Introduction. 29

General causes of changes in climate and speed of rotation of Earth. 29

Causes of the fall of the Western Roman Empire. 32

Rozdział 13 EARTH’S COATING MOVEMENTS CAUSE CLIMATE CHANGES, CHNGES IN THE VELOCITY OF EARTH’S GEOID REVOLVING, AND EARTHQUAKES. 33

Changes in the shape of the Earth because of movements of the Earth’s coating. 33

Oscillations in the Solar System and changes in the shape of the Earth and their effects. 34

The dependence of the number of earthquakes in Italy from changes in angular velocity of the Earth. 35

Rozdział 14 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RAIFALL IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE AND IMPULSES OF THE TORQUE IN THE SUSN’S MOTION.. 37

Rozdział 15 MOVEMENT OF THE EARTH’S COATING AND CIRCULATION OF WATER IN HADLEY CELL.. 38

Rozdział 16 PREDICTING, FORECASTING OF EARTHQUAKES. 39

Rozdział 17 THE SOLAR WIND AND EARTHQUAKES. 40

Causes of earthquakes. 40

The Solar Wind and Earthquakes. 41

Rozdział 18 EXPLANATION OF SEA-LEVEL CHANGES IN THE LAST 500 YEARS IN NW EUROPE AND EQUATORIAL OCEAN.. 46

Rozdział 19 HEMISPHERIC TEMPERATURE CHANGE VERSUS A SHIFT OF THE EARTH’S COATING.. 47

Rozdział 20 MECHANISM OF GLOBAL CHANGES IN FOOD PRICES. 52

The Sun sets food prices. 52

The area of cultivated land changes. 53

Mechanism of changes in global food prices. 53

Rozdział 21 THE PROOFS THAT THE EARTH’S COATING IS MOVING.. 55

Climate correlations between Greenland and Antarctica during the past 100,000 years. 56

Rozdział 22 CHANGES IN THE SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF THE OCEAN IN THE PLEISTOCENE OFF THE COAST OF SPAIN.. 57

Rozdział 23 GLOBAL MEAN CHANGE OF AIR SURFACE TEMPERATURES ON THE GLOBE IN PERIOD 1880-2018. 58

By the help NASA site GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (v4) Plots of Zonal Means: Time Series or Seasonal Cycle-link: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/zonal_means/ , I made graphs showing: 59

Rozdział 24 WHY EARTH’S COATING ROTATES AROUND THE LIQUID CORE OF THE EARTH 60

Rozdział 25 CAUSE OF REVERSALS OF EARTH’S MAGNETIC FIELD.. 61

Rozdział 26 FLUCTUATIONS OF THE EARTH’S DYNAMIC OBLATENESS J2 VERSUS ATMOSPHERIC EMISSIONS OF CARBON DIOXIDE.. 62

Rozdział 27 OCEAN PHYSIC-CHEMISTRY AND CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS VERSUS EARTH’S OBLATENESS CHANGES. 65

Diagram of cyclic changes in Earth’s climate processes: 67

Rozdział 28 GLOBAL CHANGE OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE SST AND UPWELLING VERSUS CHANGES IN CARBON DIOXIDE EMISSIONS FROM THE OCEANS THAT ALL CORRELATE WITH THE COURSE OF EAST ASIAN MONSOON, ENSO and NAO.. 69

The system – the atmosphere-ocean is a homeostat, i.e., it remains in a dynamic balance. 69

Rozdział 29 CORRELATION OF UPWELLING AND GLOBAL SST WITH CARBON DIOXIDE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND EAST ASIAN MONSOON, ENSO, NAO.. 72

Rozdział 30 VARIABILITY ENSO INDEX AND EARTHQUAKES IN THE REGION OF THE WEST COAST OF PERU VERSUS THE NUMBER OF SSN (SOLAR SUNSPOT NUMBER) 75

Rozdział 31 FORECASTING CLIMATE CHANGES, EARTHQUAKES AND WORLD USE OF ENERGY 80

Predicting long term weather in Poland. 84

Rozdział 32 EL NIÑO AND LA NIÑA OCCURRENCES AND THE PHASES AND PERIGEE OF THE MOON’S ORBIT. 86

Abstract 86

Introduction. 86

The synchronicity and asynchronicity of the perigee dates with the New Moon NM and the Full Moon FM result in the occurrence of El Niño and La Niña. 88

Summary. 88

Rozdział 33 PERIGEE OF THE MOON’S ORBIT AND ITS PHASES VERSUS THE NUMBER OF EARTHQUAKES IN CALIFORNIA 2022 YEAR.. 90

Rozdział 34 TIME OF FORMING HURRICANES VERSUS CHANGES OF SST ANOMALY IN TROPICS 93

Rozdział 35 CORRELATION OF LOD (LENGTH OF DAY) VERSUS THE USE OF ELECTRICAL POWER IN POLAND.. 96

Rozdział 36 THE NEW THEORY OF TECTONIC PLATES MOVEMENT OF THE LITHOSPHERE OF THE EARTH.. 98

Rozdział 37 REDSHIFT AND BLUESHIFT IN ASTRONOMICAL, COSMIC RESEARCH IS OBSERVED WHEN THE OBSERVERS ON EARTH CHANGES THEIR POSITION.. 102

Rozdział 38 HOW TO INCREASE YIELDS OF FISHING IN THE OCEAN?. 103

Global mean sea level GMSL changes are caused by rapid changes in the speed of Earth’s rotation. 103

The close correlation of delta C20 of Earth flatness coefficient with LOD.. 104

Changes in LOD versus SLP changes in atmospheric pressure in Reykjavik in Iceland during period 1985-1988. 107

Conclusions. 108

Rozdział 39 THE NEW WAY OF MODELING THE EARTH’S CLIMATE.. 109

Abstract 109

NAO and shift of Earth’s coating. 110

Changes in LOD versus SLP changes in atmospheric pressure in Reykjavik in Iceland [hPa] during the period 1985-1988. 114

Changes in LOD versus SLP changes in atmospheric pressure in Reykjavik in Iceland [hPa] during the period 2015-2018. 115

Correlation of atmospheric pressure changes in Ponta Delgada in Azores and delta LOD (length of day) changes in periods 1985-1988. 116

Comparison of SLP in Ponta Delgada and SLP in Reykjavik in period January 1985-December 1988. 117

Conclusions II. 117

Conclusion III. 118

Global weather extremes events and accidents of configuration in the one line smaller planets of the solar system in the period 2015-2021. 118

Rozdział 40 THE EVOLUTION OF MAMMALS AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE. 120

The development of the hominid evolutionary Hominidae. 120

When and how did hominids straighten up and stood on two legs?. 122

Why in the evolutionary line of hominids has expanded the brain?. 122

Rozdział 41 THE CAUSE OF MALE-FEMALE CONFLICT. 123

Rozdział 42 GENERAL PHYSICAL EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGES. 125

Why is the climate so important?. 125

Impact of climate change on human social life. 125

Human rights and climate change. 127

Climate change and the economic and social development of human civilization. 128

Fertility of the human population. 130

Rozdział 43 AGGRESSION, REVOLUTIONS, WARS AND CLIMATE CHANGE.. 131

Aggression. 131

Sex ratio – masculinization rate and aggressive social moods. 134

Rozdział 44 THE CONCENTRATION AND DECONCENTRATING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND OWNERSHIP. 135

The good and bad fate not only of the Polish nobleman and peasant 135

Introduction. 135

The humidity of the climate and the structure of land ownership. 136

The mechanism of changes in the concentration of agricultural land ownership. 138

The agricultural system of Rome, Byzantium, Ottoman Empire. 142

What to do to prevent changes in the concentration of agricultural property?. 142

Rozdział 45 HISTORY DETERMINES OUR FUTURE.. 143

Gravity-magnetic-seismic-climate-social cycle. 143

Mechanism of outbreaks of wars and revolutions. 143

Contemporary food problems. 146

Rozdział 46 CLASSLESS SOCIETY OR RESTITUTION OF THE NOBILITY?. 149

Rozdział 47 THEORY OF RATIONAL ACTION.. 152

Guy Sorman writes in the book entitled “Made in the USA” on page 176 that according to the theory of rational action which is dominant in American universities each human unit is reasonable, rational in every culture and every age. Our individual decisions would have depended on economic logic and knowledge. Budda said that bad is caused by ignorance. Let us see if our contemporary ignorance about climate change will cause mistakes in global politics Let us consider the meaning of the above statements. Is the human unit rational ??? Let’s look at the historical process and draw conclusions. Wheat prices are an indicator of the cost of living for the people of Europe and Asia. The following work is a picture of changes in the cost of living on the Eurasian continent: See Fig. 4 labeled “Costs of the baskets in grams of silver per person per year” in below works. 152

See also Fig.3 labelled „Costs of standard basket, 1740-1913 (in grammes silver per day)” in the work entitled „Wages, Prices, and Living Standards in China, Japan, and Europe, 1738-1925”. 153

Robert C. Allen, University of Oxford, Nuffield College, (2005) bob.allen@nuffield.ox.ac.uk. 153

Jean-Pascal Bassino, Maison Franco-Japonaise, Tokyo / Hitotsubashi University, Tokyo, bassino@mfj.gr.jp 153

Debin Ma, GRIPS / FASID Tokyo, debinma@grips.ac.jp. 153

Christine Moll-Murata, Utrecht University, Christine.Mollmurata@let.uu.nl 153

Jan Luiten van Zanden, Utrecht University / International Institute for Social History, 153

Amsterdam, jvz@iisg.nl 153

Link to the above work: http://www.iisg.nl/research/jvz-wages_prices.pdf. 153

__. 153

See also figures in the work below entitled „ Secular Trends of Rice Prices in the Yangzi Delta, 1638-1935”, in Thomas G. Rawski and Lillian M. Li, eds., Chinese History in Economic Perspective, Berkeley, University of California Press, pp. 35-68. 153

The above works are evidence of the existence of a climate inversion between Europe and Asia. The end of the 18th and 19th Centuries had a cold and humid climate in northern Europe, and there were bad and low yields. In southern Asia (southern Europe as well), there were more favorable climatic conditions for agriculture and lower food prices. At the beginning 20th century, the nutritional crisis moved to the East (Russia and China), which is also due to climatic inversion. The phenomenon of climate inversion I described in below article entitled ” The global economic difference between Europe and Asia 1600-1860, 1860-2022″. Analysis of the historical process proves that high food prices and overpopulation affect the outbreaks of the French Revolution, the Spring of Nations, the Russian Revolution, the Chinese Revolution, and Indian Revolution together with partitioning British India into India and Pakistan. What can we say in this context about the rationality of people’s reaction to the rise in food prices? The behavior of people is based on the principle: When I live well, the authorities are right, but when I am hungry, I have to change the powers. The policy of irrationality of human reactions explains the outbreaks of all revolutions. However, are destructive social behaviors rational? Each change in the power elite entails enormous material, psychological and social costs. Revolutions make the worse functioning of the social system of states, which we see in contemporary Eurasian examples. Revolutions do not improve the existence of nations. Revolutions are not rational at all, because the revolutionary reactions of citizens are based on false premises. As food and living costs increase, the people rebel against the authorities, blaming them for the economic crisis. Meanwhile, periodic rapid increases in food prices and the resulting economic crises are the result of climatic cycles related to solar activity. Authorities are generally without fault. Nature and our environment, and its cyclical changes are to blame. The last 200 years have been a constant decline in global food prices. Another climate crisis is inevitably coming, which will trigger a massive increase in food prices. People around the globe will start rebelling against power. Will these protests be rational? No, because they will be based on false premises. Human knowledge about the causes of food and economic crises is nil. The gap in human knowledge about the origins of crises removes my book called “Natural history and climate change” available on Google Books. It will be better for the world’s elite when my book will popularize, and the masses of people will learn about the natural-revolutionary mechanism. Otherwise, who knows what will happen ???. 153

Warsaw, April 17, 2016 year, 6:00 am.. 154

Rozdział 48 THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EUROPE AND ASIA 1600-1860, 1860-2022 VERSUS REGIONAL CLIMATE INVERSION.. 154

Why European economy developed in the seventeenth to the nineteenth century, the economy of Asia not?. 156

Rozdział 49 THE PROBLEMS OF DEVELOPMENT AND FALL OF EMPIRES VERSUS CLIMATE CHANGE.. 158

Introduction. 158

The history of the development and fall of successive empires has intrigued researchers for a long time, and this work makes an essential contribution to solving this puzzle. The logical concept of regional climate change related to the Earth coating displacement allows for explaining each empire’s development and defeat. The realm has been developing during favorable environmental changes in the region, which was a kingdom cradle. It grew during conquests, dependent on the empire elite and the conquered nations. Usually, great human migrations related to regional climate change marked the end of a given empire. To avoid the collapse of our human civilization in the coming global climate crisis and a possible devastating global war, we must open all borders and allow people free movement. It will focus the attention of politicians on economic life inside countries with the masses of migrants and reduce the pressure on foreign expansion. These changes should be preceded by a global agreement defining goals and rules for the worldwide migration of people and goods. In the course of my life, I developed the principles of a new international economic and political order and presented them in the works entitled “The Third Way between capitalism and communism”, and “More science, ethics, culture for the modern and future world”.I hope that reading these works published in free access in Google Books will allow you to understand our history logic, which will result in the further global evolutionary development of our civilization.The terrestrial globe is divided into two hemispheres: northern and southern. The northern hemisphere is made up of more thick continental plates and is heavier than the southern hemisphere, mostly made up of thin ocean plates. The Earth globe is affected by the cosmic gravity and more strongly pulls the northern hemisphere with a variable force causing it to move to the ecliptic plane. It is possible due to the liquid intermediate layer between the rigid coating and the solid Earth core. The Earth coating slides over the liquid middle layer under the influence of the attraction of gravity alternating forces. The Earth climatic zones are immobile to the ecliptic plane because they depend on the balance of solar radiation falling on the surface at various angles. As a result, the earth’s coating movement in relation to climatic zones causes regional climate changes in different parts of the globe. The Earth coating movement causes varying stresses in the crust as it approaches the equator and then moves away from it. These variable stresses cause earthquakes, the distribution of which was investigated in the Mediterranean Basin and Poland during the 750 BC-AD 2000 period. Almost the sinusoidal distribution of earthquakes with maxima and minima every 400 years was found. That is, every 400 years or so, the area adjacent to the Mediterranean Sea approaches the equator and then moves away from it, with different effects in different parts of the globe. The movement of the earth coating under stationary climatic zones causes changes in precipitation zones and drought zones on the earth area, bringing specific social effects and the occurrence of the cosmic-social cycle illustrated in the figure below. 158

The short story of religious systems versus climate changes. 160

Conclusion. 166

Climate change and people migrations. 166

Climate disaster in the years 2013-2100. 167

Conclusions II. 167

Rozdział 50 FURTHER COVID-19 MUTATIONS WILL PROBABLY OCCUR IN THE NEAR FUTURE 168

The cause of the COVID-19 coronavirus epidemic in Wuhan. 168

Central Asia will be the source of the next Covid -19 epidemics. 169

Rozdział 51 THE TECHNOLOGY OF SURVIVING THE CONTEMPORARY GLOBAL CRISIS 171

Admission: The Solar System shapes our lives. 171

What is survival technology?. 172

Seven Principles That Will Build a Happy Human World. 174

Rozdział 52 PLANNED SOLUTIONS TO ACHIEVE THE ABOVE GOALS. 175

Offer of cooperation for world producers. 175

Dear producer 176

Dear trader of POL-CAT S.A. 177

THE BEGINNING OF A NEW POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ORDER IN POLAND AND IN THE WORLD.. 178

Conflict of systems and remarks on the reasons for global crisis. 179

Rozdział 53 THE THIRD WAY BETWEEN CAPITALISM AND COMMUNISM-VERSION 20th AUGUST 2022. 180

On changing the inheritance mechanism.. 181

The POL-CAT joint-stock company is the so-called third way between capitalism and communism 182

POL-CAT will have commercial exclusivity in the sales network it has created. 182

Who will be an employee of POL-CAT?. 182

POL-CAT will sell everything except military equipment 183

Providence has given us free will, so don’t take it away from others. 183

The assets (I mean the shares of POL-CAT) of POL-CAT members will be inherited only by the POL-CAT company. 183

My idea for a new world is an evolutionary restriction on the privileges of the elite. 183

Principles of global, peaceful, and productive evolution and humanistic progress. 184

Money is a measure of a businessman’s social utility. 185

POL-CAT will provide a surety needed by the entrepreneur in the contract with the bank. 185

POL-CAT will receive a commission from producers and distributors of the sold goods depending on the selling price, on the basis of: 185

My proposal to create a global POL-CAT company is aimed at centralizing distribution and services, leaving a free market in production. 187

The ideological war is the cheapest way to win over Russian and Chinese post-communism.. 187

Rozdział 54 FUTURE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION AND IMIGRANTS. 189

What will the modern immigration of African and Asian peoples to the European Union end with? 190

Rozdział 55 POLAND MUST REGAIN INDEPENDENCE AGAIN.. 193

A brief synthesis of Polish history. 194

Poland for self-governing parishes and religious communes. 195

A new spiritual, political, social and economic order for Poland-Anarchism again. 196

Assumptions of the new organization of the Polish State. 197

A new spiritual, political, social, and economic order for Poland. 198

I know that the supersensory virtual world definitely exists. 198

My credo. 198

A gift for His Holiness the Dalai Lama for his 80th birthday. 200

Is the stone conscious?. 201

Rozdział 56 THE VIRTUAL REALITY OF THE WORLD.. 202

Rozdział 57 HOW TO FULFILL MY POLITICAL POSTULATES?. 202

Rozdział 58 MY PLAN FOR POLAND AND THE REST OF THE WORLD.. 203

WHY IS NECESSARY TO INTRODUCE A MODERN FEUDAL SYSTEM IN POLAND, WESTERN COUNTRIES AND ASIA?. 203

Rozdział 59 FINAL CONCLUSION.. 205

Rozdział 60 Appendixes. 206

Rozdział 61 Notes. 206

Rozdział 62 Glossary. 206

Rozdział 63 Bibliography: 206

__Rawski_____________(1992). Secular Trends of Rice Prices in the Yangzi Delta, 1638-1935,î in Thomas G. Rawski and Lillian M. Li, eds., Chinese History in Economic Perspective, Berkeley, University of California Press, pp. 35-68. 207

The content of my new book is in preparation for printing

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